Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.443079 4.979133 5.562844 6.247034 7.028760 7.896073 8.933977
2025-02-02 3.763499 4.500095 5.363582 6.456156 7.809610 9.441311 11.572640
2025-02-09 3.296235 4.136237 5.176983 6.573005 8.414358 10.784791 14.107375
2025-02-16 2.951659 3.850125 5.014214 6.652127 8.927993 12.024096 16.633783
2025-02-23 2.685218 3.619259 4.876363 6.719389 9.398914 13.225749 19.238900
2025-03-02 2.391475 3.312123 4.591096 6.532150 9.464848 13.831677 21.022274
2025-03-09 2.180875 3.095890 4.404302 6.454162 9.663684 14.632968 23.186385
2025-03-16 1.999841 2.902669 4.227808 6.364848 9.822193 15.372203 25.329652
2025-03-23 1.929051 2.864600 4.275275 6.619747 10.544974 17.091344 29.368068
2025-03-30 1.805098 2.733135 4.165059 6.607222 10.819252 18.082183 32.245285
2025-04-06 1.685478 2.597765 4.035413 6.546584 10.998767 18.919181 34.944886
2025-04-13 1.517978 2.372807 3.742714 6.181676 10.602822 18.669218 35.489087
2025-04-20 1.439071 2.288781 3.678958 6.213263 10.936019 19.830131 39.095803
2025-04-27 1.397281 2.263061 3.710700 6.416658 11.609976 21.728564 44.569810
2025-05-04 1.343756 2.212895 3.695507 6.531708 12.126152 23.379297 49.793227
2025-05-11 1.288929 2.155989 3.663137 6.610047 12.576331 24.949574 55.110428
2025-05-18 1.236897 2.099907 3.627182 6.676775 13.008150 26.533912 60.747542
2025-05-25 1.153866 1.982389 3.469919 6.490876 12.892007 26.901901 63.436106
2025-06-01 1.092457 1.900039 3.371721 6.413447 12.997015 27.776480 67.577200
2025-06-08 1.034478 1.820222 3.272489 6.324774 13.067062 28.577376 71.670893
2025-06-15 1.022182 1.824993 3.335423 6.577840 13.927750 31.372577 81.831875
2025-06-22 0.979586 1.769220 3.275950 6.565405 14.177954 32.706952 88.085323
2025-06-29 0.934683 1.706190 3.197663 6.505204 14.308995 33.757803 93.712633